Basics of Cryptocurrency

Cryptocurrency (Crypto) is a form of digital currency that uses cryptographic techniques to secure the transmission and storage of data and to control the creation of new units. Unlike physical cash, cryptocurrencies exist solely in digital form.

Owning Crypto means holding a private key that allows you to transfer units from one party to another across a decentralized network – one that does not rely on a central authority or intermediary and is maintained by a distributed community. Every transaction is recorded and updated on a blockchain, ensuring accuracy and bolstering trust among participants.

Since the launch of Bitcoin (the first and most widely used cryptocurrency) in 2009, thousands of cryptocurrencies have emerged, each offering different features and use cases. While cryptocurrencies have existed for over a decade, the broader applications of blockchain technology, especially in financial services, are still evolving, with significant innovation and adoption expected in the years ahead.

 

Benefits of Cryptocurrency

1.High growth potential – Cryptocurrencies have historically offered investors significantly higher returns compared to traditional investments, often over shorter timeframes. For example, Bitcoin rose from US$0.90 in 2010 to around US$105,816 by mid-June 2025.

2.Decentralization and Financial Independence – Unlike traditional financial systems, cryptocurrencies are not controlled by any single government or institution. This offers greater autonomy, enabling individuals to manage wealth, conduct transactions, and access services without centralized intermediaries.

3.Enhanced Transparency – Crypto transactions are recorded on a public blockchain ledger, strengthening network security and trust. This transparency gives participants real-time access to accurate information and helps enhance confidence in the system.

Risks Associated With Cryptocurrency

1.Price Volatility – Cryptocurrency prices can fluctuate rapidly and unpredictably due to speculative trading and pump-and-dump schemes. Because returns are driven by demand and supply dynamics, they are often uncertain and cannot be guaranteed.

2.Cyberattacks – Cryptocurrency hackers may steal private keys and gain access to users’ assets, often resulting in permanent and usually irrecoverable losses. High-profile incidents include the 2018 hacks of Coincheck and BitGrail, which led to losses of US$534 million and US$195 million, respectively.

3.Lack of Consumer Protection – Unlike traditional financial systems, cryptocurrencies typically lack regulatory oversight and formal consumer safeguards. If a Crypto trading platform (CTP) or wallet provider fails or goes bankrupt, investors may have no legal recourse to recover their funds.

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The information contained in this blog is being provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation from any Bora Capital Advisors entity to the recipient. Bora Capital Advisors is not providing any financial, economic, legal, investment, accounting, or tax advice through this blog to its recipient. This report reflects the views and opinions of Bora Capital Advisors Ltd, and is provided for information purposes only. Although the information provided in the market review and outlook section is, to the best of our knowledge and belief correct, Bora Capital Advisors Ltd, its directors, employees and related parties accept no liability or responsibility for any loss, damage, claim or expense suffered or incurred by any party as a result of reliance on the information provided and opinions expressed in this report, except as required by law. The portfolio performance data represented in this report represents past performance and does not guarantee future performance or results.

Rising MPRs and Declining Interest Rates

On March 31, 2025, the Bank of Ghana (BoG) made a surprising move: it increased the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) from 27% to 28%. This decision was meant to “re-anchor the disinflationary process,” even though inflation had been falling, making most market watchers to expect the central bank to hold or even cut rates. At the most recent 124th Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meetings held from 21 to 23 May 2025, the Committee, by a unanimous decision, maintained the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) at 28%, amidst falling inflation as well as falling interest rates on the short-term bill. Another surprising move.

Typically, a hike in the MPR leads to a rise in interest rates across board, especially for government securities like Treasury bills (T-bills). But that hasn’t happened. Instead, T-bill rates have continued to slide, week after week, indicating a disconnect between the MPR hike and the rates.

This apparent disconnect is a reminder that the relationship between the MPR and market rates isn’t always straightforward. A range of economic and psychological factors can influence outcomes—sometimes in ways that override the textbook expectations. For instance;

1. Investor Sentiment and Expectations

Markets are forward-looking. Many investors see the MPR hike as temporary, especially in light of steady progress in reducing inflation. They may be anticipating rate cuts in the near future, which would make locking in current T-bill yields attractive—even if those yields are falling.

1. Real Returns Look Promising

With inflation declining, the real (inflation-adjusted) return on T-bills is improving. This makes T-bills appealing even at lower nominal rates, encouraging more demand and pushing yields down further.

3. Support from the IMF and Ongoing Reforms

Confidence is growing due to Ghana’s ongoing debt restructuring efforts and support from the International Monetary Fund. These developments have reduced perceived risks in the economy, making investors more comfortable with accepting lower returns on government debt.

4. Currency Dynamics

Interestingly, the recent strengthening of the cedi against major currencies like the US Dollar, may have contributed to stronger demand for local currency instruments. With currency risks seen as manageable or even declining, investors are more willing to hold domestic debt.

5. Government Fiscal Discipline

The government has also introduced spending cuts and measures to control public finances. This has reduced the need for excessive borrowing and delayed the pace of public spending—another factor putting downward pressure on interest rates.

In Summary:

The BoG’s MPR hike may have grabbed headlines, but the broader story is more complex. Market dynamics, expectations, and structural reforms are shaping the current interest rate environment. Whether falling T-bill rates are sustainable remains to be seen—but for now, the Ghanaian treasury bill market is telling a different story than the policy rate might suggest.

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The information contained in this blog is being provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation from any Bora Capital Advisors entity to the recipient. Bora Capital Advisors is not providing any financial, economic, legal, investment, accounting, or tax advice through this blog to its recipient. This report reflects the views and opinions of Bora Capital Advisors Ltd, and is provided for information purposes only. Although the information provided in the market review and outlook section is, to the best of our knowledge and belief correct, Bora Capital Advisors Ltd, its directors, employees and related parties accept no liability or responsibility for any loss, damage, claim or expense suffered or incurred by any party as a result of reliance on the information provided and opinions expressed in this report, except as required by law. The portfolio performance data represented in this report represents past performance and does not guarantee future performance or results.

Offshore Investing During a Global Trade War: What Ghanaian Investors Should Know

In an increasingly unpredictable world, where trade agreements can shift overnight and global powerhouses clash over tariffs, investors face a challenging question: Should I stay invested offshore, or pull back?

Free Trade vs. Trade Wars

Free trade, at its core, allows nations to exchange goods and services without restrictions. It fuels innovation, job creation, and consumer choice. However, when political mistrust rises, countries often retreat into tariff barriers, triggering trade wars.

The current global trade war, spearheaded by the U.S. under President Trump, has significantly disrupted global markets; there are tariffs of 10% or more imposed on imports from over 50 countries, U.S.–China tensions have resurfaced, despite temporary tariff cuts, supply chains are being rerouted, with Chinese goods diverted through third countries like Vietnam and Mexico.

Consumer backlash is growing — more than 50% of EU consumers are ready to boycott U.S. products.

The result? Higher costs for businesses, lower investor confidence, and increased volatility in global financial markets.

What This Means for Your Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)

If you’re holding U.S.-listed ETFs, here’s how the trade war may affect your portfolio:

1. Volatility Is the New Normal

Sectors exposed to China (especially tech and industrials) are bearing the brunt of the ongoing tariff wars. ETFs tracking the S&P 500 or specific sectors may experience sharp swings.

2. Currency Risk Cuts Both Ways

The cedi-dollar relationship matters. If the cedi weakens, your USD-denominated ETF gains may look better in local currency. If the dollar drops under global pressure, returns may diminish.

3. Dividends Could Dip

With corporate profits under pressure, dividend-paying ETFs could see reduced payouts. This affects income-focused investors.

4. A Broader Economic Slowdown

If global economic growth slows down, even companies not directly involved in trade may feel the pinch. That means slower earnings growth — and a slower recovery for markets.

What Should Investors in Ghana Do?

Adopt a calm and disciplined approach as stated below;

Stay Invested, Think Long-Term

Trade wars are temporary. Quality ETFs with diversified holdings are built to withstand such shocks. Also, staying invested helps investors to benefit from the long-term growth of global markets.

Don’t Miss Dividends

Many ETFs pay regular income – dividends. Selling off now could mean missing out on dividend income — especially when ETF prices are lower and reinvestment opportunities are ripe.

Use Volatility to Your Advantage

Times like these offer entry points for long-term investors. If you have a solid strategy, use the dips to accumulate assets gradually. Selling now locks in losses — staying put allows your investments to recover. That is, investors can buy quality assets at discounted prices and benefit from future rebounds.

Embrace Dollar-Cost Averaging

Dollar-cost averaging is a simple tool that an investor can use to build savings and wealth over the long term. It involves investing the same amount of money in a target security at regular intervals over a certain period of time, regardless of price. By using dollar-cost averaging, investors may lower their average cost per share and reduce the impact of volatility on the their portfolios.

 

In simple terms, don’t let short-term headlines derail your long-term goals. The ETFs that have been chosen by Bora Capital for clients offer quality, diversification, and resilience. Each of these has weathered events like the Great Recession, COVID-19, and now the Trump Tariffs — and still delivered recovery and growth. Thus, continue your strategy, rebalance if needed, and use dollar-cost averaging to take advantage of market downturns.

As Warren Buffet puts it: “Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful”.

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The information contained in this blog is being provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation from any Bora Capital Advisors entity to the recipient. Bora Capital Advisors is not providing any financial, economic, legal, investment, accounting, or tax advice through this blog to its recipient. This report reflects the views and opinions of Bora Capital Advisors Ltd, and is provided for information purposes only. Although the information provided in the market review and outlook section is, to the best of our knowledge and belief correct, Bora Capital Advisors Ltd, its directors, employees and related parties accept no liability or responsibility for any loss, damage, claim or expense suffered or incurred by any party as a result of reliance on the information provided and opinions expressed in this report, except as required by law. The portfolio performance data represented in this report represents past performance and does not guarantee future performance or results.

The Role of Sustainable Investment in Ghana’s economic growth

As the world grapples with climate change, resource depletion, and social inequality, the concept of sustainable investing has emerged as a driving force in shaping future economies. This growing trend isn’t just beneficial for the environment or society—it is also essential for the sustained economic growth of both developed and emerging economies and Ghana’s economy is no exception.

What is Sustainable Investing?

Sustainable Investing, also known as Socially responsible investing (SRI), refers to the integration of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors into financial decisions, moving beyond the sole focus of profit maximization to also prioritize long-term societal impact. This investment approach aligns with the growing demand for responsible corporate behaviour, and economic activities that mitigate environmental harm, promote social good and enforce strong governance practices all while being profitable.

Ghana’s economy, like many other emerging markets, faces challenges such as climate change and infrastructure gaps. However, these challenges also create opportunities for sustainable, impactful investments. With a growing population and rising demand for energy, food, and infrastructure, the country remains an attractive destination for investors seeking both returns and development impact.

How does sustainable investment drive economic growth?

1.Creating New Markets and Industries – Sustainable investment supports the growth of green sectors like renewable energy, sustainable agriculture, and eco-friendly infrastructure, helping economies diversify and reduce carbon dependence. In Ghana, it can enhance food security, boost efficiency, and combat climate change through technologies like precision farming and organic inputs, driving both productivity and long-term gains.

2.Driving Innovation and Efficiency – ESG-focused investments hold firms accountable for their environmental and social practices, encouraging innovation, efficiency, and sustainable supply chain. The push for sustainability encourages the adoption of technologies that cut waste, improve energy use, and build sustainable supply chains, lowering operational costs and supporting long-term growth. This reduces costs, boosts long-term growth, and makes companies more attractive to investors, creating a cycle of improved productivity, competitiveness, and economic development.

3.Encouraging Inclusivity and Poverty Reduction – Sustainable investment promotes inclusive growth by funding projects that reduce social inequalities—such as housing, healthcare, education, and microfinance—leading to fairer wealth distribution, greater access to resources, and wider economic participation.

4.Attracting Foreign Investment – Countries that adopt ESG principles and climate-friendly policies attract more foreign direct investment, especially from global investors seeking sustainable opportunities. This capital inflow supports economic development by creating jobs, building new industries, and driving long-term growth, particularly in emerging markets investing in renewable energy.

 

Challenges to Sustainable Investing

While sustainable investing offers enormous potential, there are challenges to be addressed. Some of these challenges include a lack of data availability and transparency on ESG factors, making it difficult for investors to assess the true impact of their investments. Additionally, there can be a lack of consensus on what qualifies as a “sustainable” investment which could lead to greenwashing- where companies claim to be more sustainable than they truly are.

However, with growing awareness, stronger regulatory frameworks, and technological advancements, these challenges are gradually being addressed. Governments, businesses, and investors must continue to work together to establish clear standards and reporting mechanisms to ensure that sustainable investment fulfils its promise of driving economic growth and societal progress.

 

Sustainable investment is a key driver of economic growth. By funding businesses that prioritize ESG principles, it builds resilient economies ready for global challenges. Harvard research shows companies with strong sustainability practices outperform peers over time, benefiting from better reputations and stronger customer loyalty. As Ghana embraces sustainability, it offers investors attractive opportunities for both returns and positive impact. Integrating ESG into its economy can accelerate growth and create a more equitable future.

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The information contained in this blog is being provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation from any Bora Capital Advisors entity to the recipient. Bora Capital Advisors is not providing any financial, economic, legal, investment, accounting, or tax advice through this blog to its recipient. This report reflects the views and opinions of Bora Capital Advisors Ltd, and is provided for information purposes only. Although the information provided in the market review and outlook section is, to the best of our knowledge and belief correct, Bora Capital Advisors Ltd, its directors, employees and related parties accept no liability or responsibility for any loss, damage, claim or expense suffered or incurred by any party as a result of reliance on the information provided and opinions expressed in this report, except as required by law. The portfolio performance data represented in this report represents past performance and does not guarantee future performance or results.

Commodities As An Asset Class

What are commodities?

Commodities are raw materials that can be bought and sold, including physical goods, energy resources, agricultural products, and livestock. Unlike stocks and bonds, commodities are tangible assets whose value can be influenced by factors such as the weather, geopolitical events and broader macroeconomic trends.

Why are commodities important as an asset class?

1.Diversification Benefits – Commodities tend to have a low or negative correlation with traditional asset classes. This means that when stocks are underperforming, commodities might perform well. Diversifying across asset classes helps to reduce the overall risk exposure while potentially enhancing returns.

2.Inflation Hedge- Commodities are among the few asset classes that often gain value during periods of rising inflation. For example, gold and oil have historically been considered reliable hedges during times of economic uncertainty or inflation. As inflation rises, the cost of goods and services increases, often making commodities more valuable.

3.Returns During Market Volatility- Commodities can perform well during periods of market volatility or geopolitical instability. For instance, in times of oil supply shocks or geopolitical tensions in major energy-producing regions, the prices of crude oil and natural gas often spike. Investors exposed to commodities during these times can benefit from such price surges.

How to invest in Commodities

1.Physical Ownership – This involves directly purchasing commodities like gold bars or agricultural produce. However, this may pose challenges for most individual investors due to issues related to storage, insurance and liquidity.

2.Futures Contracts – A more common approach is through commodity futures, where investors agree to buy or sell a commodity at a specific price on a future date. Futures markets are highly liquid but can be risky due to the leverage involved.

3.Exchange- Traded Funds (ETFs) ETFs offer a convenient way to gain exposure to a broad basket of commodities without needing to trade futures directly. For example, an investor could buy into a gold ETF or an energy- focused ETF, depending on their preferences.

4.Commodities Stocks and Funds – Investors can also gain exposure by investing in companies involved in producing or extracting commodities, such as mining firms or oil companies.

 

Risks Associated With Commodity Investments

1.Price Volatility – Commodity prices can be highly volatile due to factors such as weather conditions, geopolitical events, and global demand-supply imbalances. This volatility poses a challenge for investors, as it can impact profit margins and lead to unpredictable investment outcomes.

2.Leverage Risk in Futures Trading – Futures contracts often involve leverage, allowing investors to control large amounts of a commodity with a relatively small initial investment. While leverage can  amplify gains, it also magnifies losses as investors are tasked with paying interest on the leveraged amount.

3.Geopolitical Risk – Commodities like oil and gas are particularly sensitive to geopolitical tensions. Disruptions in major supply regions can cause sharp price movements. For example, instability in the Middle East has historically resulted in spikes in oil prices, impacting global energy markets.

4.Non-Income-Generating Asset Class – Unlike many other asset classes, commodities do not generate income or yield, such as interest or dividends. Instead, their returns are primarily driven by fluctuations in demand and supply dynamics, making their performance inherently more volatile and dependent on market conditions.

For investors aiming to build resilient and diversified portfolios, commodities can be considered a worthwhile component. Whether through physical holdings, futures contracts, ETFs, or shares of commodity-related companies, exposure to this asset class may offer long-term value and protection against economic uncertainty.

Investing in commodities isn’t just about capitalizing on short-term market trends; it is also about recognizing the long-term value of the raw materials that power economies around the world.

 

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The information contained in this blog is being provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation from any Bora Capital Advisors entity to the recipient. Bora Capital Advisors is not providing any financial, economic, legal, investment, accounting, or tax advice through this blog to its recipient. This report reflects the views and opinions of Bora Capital Advisors Ltd, and is provided for information purposes only. Although the information provided in the market review and outlook section is, to the best of our knowledge and belief correct, Bora Capital Advisors Ltd, its directors, employees and related parties accept no liability or responsibility for any loss, damage, claim or expense suffered or incurred by any party as a result of reliance on the information provided and opinions expressed in this report, except as required by law. The portfolio performance data represented in this report represents past performance and does not guarantee future performance or results.

The Case for ETFs

In the evolving landscape of investment, Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have emerged as a powerful tool for investors seeking diversification, cost-efficiency, and flexibility. Over the past few decades, ETFs have transformed the way individuals and institutions approach portfolio management, offering an accessible and innovative means to participate in various markets. This overview delves into the fundamentals of ETFs, exploring their structure, benefits, and the reasons behind their surging popularity among investors worldwide. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just starting out, understanding ETFs is crucial for making informed decisions and optimizing your investment strategy.

The Structure of ETFs

ETFs are investment funds that trade on stock exchanges, similar to individual stocks or shares. They hold assets such as stocks, commodities, or bonds and many others. ETFs are structured as open-ended funds, meaning they can issue and redeem shares continuously. They are typically designed to track the performance of a specific index such as the S&P 500, particular sector, commodity, or asset class, while others have specific investment strategies. They are created such that investors exchange baskets of underlying assets for ETF shares.

As ETFs trade on stock exchanges, you can buy and sell them throughout any trading day at prevailing market prices. This allows investors to obtain greater flexibility and real-time trading opportunities.

One of the main advantages of ETFs is their ability to provide instant diversification. By investing in an ETF, investors gain exposure to a broad range of assets within a single security. By spreading investments across various assets, sectors, regions, and asset classes, ETFs help mitigate risk and enhance the potential for stable returns.

ETFs offer a cost-effective way to achieve diversification. Buying individual stocks or bonds to replicate the holdings of an ETF can be expensive due to transaction costs and management fees. ETFs provide instant diversification at a lower cost due to their typically low expense ratios and trading fees. They generally have lower expense ratios compared to mutual funds. They are passively managed, meaning they track an index rather than relying on active management, which reduces management fees.

Types of ETFs

Below are a few of the most popular types or forms of ETFs:

Stock ETFs: Track an index of stocks.

Bond ETFs: Invest in government, corporate, or municipal bonds.

Commodity ETFs: Track the price of a commodity, like gold or oil.

Sector and Industry ETFs: Focus on specific sectors or industries, such as technology or healthcare.

International ETFs: Invest in stocks or bonds from specific countries or regions.

Inverse and Leveraged ETFs: Designed to deliver multiples of the performance of the index they track or to perform inversely to the index.

The surging popularity among investors worldwide

An analysis carried out by PwC, suggests that the assets under management (AUM) of global Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have experienced an impressive Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 18.9% over the past five years. From December 2022 to the end of 2023, AUM grew by over 25%, reaching a new record of nearly US$11.5 trillion. Additionally, PwC reports that the number of asset managers offering ETFs has more than doubled since 2013, rising from 233 to 582 over that period, with 60% of the top 100 asset managers now offering ETFs. This underscores the significant opportunities asset managers have identified in the ETF market over the past decade, with no signs of this trend slowing down, according to PwC’s survey results.

The ETF market continues to evolve, offering innovative products that cater to diverse investment needs. From leveraged and inverse ETFs to actively managed ETFs, the variety available allows investors to tailor their portfolios to specific strategies and market conditions.

The flexibility of being able to buy and sell ETF shares throughout the trading day at market makes them particularly attractive compared to mutual funds, which can only be traded at the end of the trading day.

Further, most ETFs disclose their holdings on a daily basis, allowing investors to see exactly what assets they are invested in. This level of transparency helps investors make informed decisions and understand the underlying risks.

Risks of Investing in Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)

While ETFs offer many advantages such as diversification, cost-efficiency, and liquidity, they also come with certain risks. Understanding these risks is crucial for making informed investment decisions. Here are some risks associated with investing in ETFs:

  1. Market Risk

This refers to the potential for an entire market or market segment to decline in value. Since ETFs often track broad indices or sectors, their value can be affected by overall market movements. If the market or sector declines, the value of the ETF will also decline. Also, since ETFs trade like stocks, their prices can be volatile and influenced by market conditions.

  1. Tracking Error

Tracking error occurs when an ETF does not perfectly replicate the performance of its underlying index. This can happen due to several factors, including management fees and trading costs. High tracking error can lead to returns that differ from those of the target index, affecting the investor’s expected performance.

  1. Liquidity Risk

While many ETFs are highly liquid, some may have low trading volumes, making it harder to buy or sell shares without affecting the market price. This is especially those that invest in less liquid markets or specific sectors. This can make it harder to buy or sell shares without impacting the market price.

  1. Currency Risk

For ETFs that invest in international markets, currency risk is a consideration. Changes in exchange rates can impact the value of the ETF’s underlying holdings. If the local currency of the investments weakens against the investor’s home currency, the returns can be negatively affected even if the underlying assets perform well.

Investing in ETFs

Investing in ETFs involves a few key steps to align with your financial goals.

1. First, define your investment objectives, whether they are long-term growth, income, or diversification.

2. Conduct thorough research to select ETFs that match your goals, considering factors like underlying assets, performance history, expense ratios, liquidity, fund size, and tracking error.

3. Next, open and fund a brokerage account, choosing the right type for your needs (e.g., individual, retirement). Once your account is set up, place an order to buy ETFs using market, limit, or stop orders. You could also talk to your fund manager to assist you in such transactions.

After purchasing ETFs, regularly monitor your investments to ensure they continue to align with your goals. Rebalance your portfolio periodically to maintain your desired asset allocation, and be mindful of the tax implications of your ETF transactions.

ETFs represent a versatile and accessible investment option that combines the benefits of diversification, cost-efficiency, and liquidity. They allow investors to easily gain exposure to a wide range of assets, sectors, and geographic regions through a single investment vehicle. With low expense ratios and the ability to trade throughout the day on stock exchanges, ETFs offer flexibility and transparency. Whether you’re seeking long-term growth, income generation, or risk mitigation, ETFs provide a practical solution that can be tailored to fit different investment strategies and goals. By understanding the risks, monitoring performance, and maintaining a diversified

Source: ETFdatabase

Diversifying Your Portfolio with Offshore Investments

In today’s interconnected global economy, investors have unprecedented access to a variety of international markets. Offshore investing, which involves placing capital in markets outside of one’s home country, has become an increasingly popular strategy.

Investing offshore typically refers to investing in assets or financial instruments issued and traded outside of one’s home country. For someone living in Ghana, investing offshore could involve putting money into stocks, Government bills or bonds, mutual funds, real estate, or other investment vehicles that are issued and traded in developed markets such as the US, Europe and others. This gives you access to diverse economies, geographic areas, and a wider range of companies. In doing so, the investor stands the chance to increase potential returns under different market conditions.

For investors in emerging markets or developing countries, investing in developed countries provides several key advantages. Developed markets, are typically characterized by greater economic stability, mature financial systems, well-established regulatory environments and higher liquidity. These attributes can offer emerging market investors a potentially safer haven for their capital, reducing the risk associated with the volatility often found in their home economies.

A key objective for investors in emerging countries investing offshore is to have access to international or global asset classes that are highly rated, such as sovereign debt of US and European countries, as well as to gain access to markets with greater stability, mature companies that have a tried and tested record, and economies that underpin a large proportion of the wealth of the global economy. Ultimately, such investments will seek to improve the rating of your portfolio and therefore reduce the risk of default or low performance.

On the other hand, investors from developed countries often look to emerging markets for the potential of higher returns and growth opportunities that may surpass those in their home economies. Emerging markets, including countries in Africa, Asia, and Latin America, are often characterized by rapidly growing economies, expanding middle classes, and increasing consumer demand. These factors can drive significant growth in industries such as infrastructure, consumer goods, and financial services.

For developed market investors, emerging markets offer the allure of investing in regions with higher growth rates. While developed markets may offer stability, their growth rates are typically lower, and returns on investments in these markets can be modest. In contrast, emerging markets, though more volatile, present opportunities for substantial capital appreciation. Investing in these markets allows developed market investors to capture growth potential that might not be available in more mature economies.

What are the Potential Benefits of Investing Offshore?

1. Diversification: One of the primary advantages of offshore investing is diversification. Investing offshore allows portfolio diversification across different countries and currencies. By spreading investments across different geographical regions, sectors, and currencies, investors can reduce their exposure to risks specific to any single country or market, thereby reducing the risk associated with having all your investments concentrated in one country or region. This helps protect against local economic downturns and market volatility.


2. Access to Global Opportunities:
Offshore investing may offer access to a broader range of investment opportunities, including sectors and industries that may not be well-represented in one’s country. An investor from Ghana may have access to technology, pharmaceuticals, and high-end manufacturing, which can provide higher returns than locally available options. Offshore investments may offer access to investment opportunities that are not available domestically, such as other emerging markets, specific industries, or niche sectors. While Ghana is considered as an emerging market, offshore investing provides access to other high-growth emerging markets such as China, India, and Brazil. Additionally, investors can tap into stable, developed markets like the United States, Europe, and Japan, which can offer a balance of growth and stability. These markets can offer substantial returns compared to more established, slower-growing economies.

3. Currency Hedge:
Holding assets denominated in different currencies can provide a hedge against currency risk and help protect the value of your investments if your home currency depreciates. For instance, investing in assets denominated in foreign currencies other than the Ghanaian cedis can help to hedge against the risk of the local currency depreciation. Holding investments in stronger currencies like the US dollar, euro, or British pound can protect and potentially enhance the value of your investment portfolios.

4. Participation in Global Economic Trends:
Investing offshore allows investors to benefit from global economic trends and innovations. For example, investing in international technology companies enables investors to gain from advancements and growth in the global tech sector, which might not be as pronounced locally. By investing in global financial markets, investors can benefit from diverse financial trends and economic cycles, gaining exposure to both high-growth and stable regions. There is the opportunity to invest in commodities, natural resources, and global infrastructure projects, allowing for participation in worldwide demand and development. This diversification helps mitigate domestic economic risks and positions investors to capitalize on global opportunities. Overall, investing offshore enhances portfolio resilience and growth potential by tapping into dynamic and innovative global markets.

5. Estate Planning and Wealth Preservation:
Investing offshore can be a powerful tool for estate planning and wealth preservation, offering several advantages to investors looking to secure their financial legacy for future generations. Some offshore jurisdictions often have robust legal frameworks designed to protect investors’ assets, shielding them from potential claims, creditors, or legal disputes. By placing assets in offshore trusts, foundations, or other legal structures, investors can ensure that their wealth remains intact and is managed according to their wishes. These structures can also facilitate smooth wealth transfer across generations, minimizing the impact of inheritance taxes and ensuring that heirs receive their inheritance efficiently. Additionally, offshore investments can provide confidentiality, helping to maintain the privacy of the investor’s financial affairs and protect their family’s financial security. Investors could aim to invest offshore as part of long-term diversification strategy.

While investing offshore offers numerous benefits, it also comes with specific risks that investors need to consider carefully. Understanding these risks is crucial for making informed investment decisions and mitigating potential downsides.

What could go wrong with Investing Offshore?

Currency risk is a critical factor in investing offshore. Fluctuations in exchange rates can significantly impact investment returns when converted back into the local currency. These fluctuations are influenced by economic factors and geopolitical events, making them unpredictable and potentially eroding the overall value of investments.

High inflation in the country where you are investing can erode the value of the underlying assets, leading to returns that fall short of expectations. When these diminished returns are converted back into your home country’s currency, the impact of inflation can make the investment less profitable or even result in a loss, resulting in poor investment.

Market volatility poses additional risks in investing offshore, especially in emerging markets. Economic instability, political unrest, or sudden policy changes can lead to significant market fluctuations and potential losses for investors. Offshore investments, if done in some emerging markets, may also suffer from lower liquidity compared to domestic investments, meaning they may be harder to buy or sell quickly without affecting market prices. This lack of liquidity can be particularly challenging during periods of economic uncertainty or market stress, limiting investors’ ability to react swiftly to changing conditions.

Furthermore, investing offshore carries the risk of the unknown, including factors that are difficult to anticipate or quantify. This can include unexpected changes in local business environments, cultural differences impacting investment outcomes, or unforeseen geopolitical events that affect market stability. Such unknowns can introduce additional uncertainty and complexity into investment decisions, requiring thorough due diligence and risk management strategies to mitigate potential impacts.

Offshore investing presents a compelling opportunity for investors seeking diversification, potential higher returns, and exposure to global economic trends. Despite its benefits, offshore investing comes with inherent risks. Successfully navigating these risks requires thorough research, careful planning, and the assistance of knowledgeable advisors. With prudent risk management and a strategic approach, investors can harness the benefits of offshore investing to achieve long-term financial growth and stability.

Pension Funds and the Domestic Debt Exchange

The Government of the Republic of Ghana announced on July 31, 2023 that it was inviting Pension Funds holding domestic notes and bonds of the central Government, E.S.L.A. Plc and Daakye Trust Plc to exchange approximately GH¢31 billion principal amount of Eligible Bonds for a package of new bonds.

Holders of the eligible bonds who validly tender their holdings would receive in exchange for their Eligible Bonds, the same aggregate principal amount distributed across new tranches of the Government’s outstanding Bonds that were issued in February 2023 and maturing in 2027 and 2028 as part of the Domestic Debt Exchange Program (DDEP).

The new bonds will have an average coupon of 8.4%, in addition to a 15% increase in the principal value. Further, there will be two additional cash payment instruments with a 10% coupon (“New Interest-Only Bond”).

Table 1 below indicates the details of the exchange.

At the end of the offer period, Pension funds agreed to exchange GH¢29 billion out of the existing GH¢31billion bonds for the new notes maturing in 2027 and 2028, representing about 94% exchange success rate.

The Implications for Pension Funds and Pension Pay-outs

Excessive Exposure to a Single Issuer

Prior to the DDEP, most pension funds had about 75% exposure to the Government of Ghana (GoG). However, post DDEP and conversion of ESLA and Daakye bonds to GoG bonds, most pension funds exposure to the GoG is around 80 – 90%. Thus, the need to find alternative investment instruments. The DDEP has however taken off ESLA and Daakye bonds which served as alternative instruments, thus, narrowing the broad stream of qualifying issuer choices by pension funds.

By pension funds having a significant portion of their portfolio in GoG securities, there is also the likelihood on missing out on potential higher returns from other investment opportunities with higher risk and return potential.

Higher Risk to Potential Default in 2027 and 2028

Whiles the maturity profile of the Universal Banks, per their restructured bond terms cover 2027 to 2038, pension funds, who have the capacity for long term investment have maturities spread over only two (2) years, 2027 and 2028. Should the Government default, these funds will be badly hit as they carry the highest potential default at the moment.

Figure 1 – Maturity Wall of Restructured Domestic Bonds Present Concerns for 2027 and 2028

Liquidity

The pension funds which usually hold long-term bonds have had the maturity dates of all bonds moved to 2027 and 2028 (4 to 5 years). Shortening the maturity dates means that the bonds will mature sooner than originally anticipated. This could lead to an influx of principal repayment into the pension fund’s portfolio. While this might increase the fund’s liquidity in the short term, it could also pose challenges in reinvesting those funds to maintain a steady income stream, especially if suitable investment opportunities with similar risk and yield profiles are limited.

However, in the short-term, the market uncertainty created by the domestic debt exchange has led to a loss of confidence that is affecting the tradability of Government bonds. Investors may shift their preferences towards other types of investments or assets, such as equities or alternative fixed-income securities. This shift in preference can further reduce the tradability of the bonds.

For schemes that focus on coupons, they might have their income and liquidity disrupted. This is because the payment dates have all been bulked up into two (2) specific dates in each year, i.e. February and August of each year until maturity. There is thus infrequent coupon payments, disrupting the income and planned payments on debt obligations.

Increased Income

In the short-term, interest is reduced, but the 15% increase in the principal value provides increased income upon maturity. Thus, even though in the short term the pension funds will receive less income from coupons, there is the possibility of gaining more than anticipated income in the long term if the increased face value received at maturity is reinvested at a better market rate. This is however dependent on the prevailing interest rates upon maturity which can consequently increase the overall income or returns compared to what would have been under the original bond structure.

A pension fund with a stronger financial position is better equipped to navigate market fluctuations and economic challenges. This can lead to overall portfolio growth and help the pension fund achieve its long-term investment objectives.

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The information contained in this blog is being provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation from any Bora Capital Advisors entity to the recipient. Bora Capital Advisors is not providing any financial, economic, legal, investment, accounting, or tax advice through this blog to its recipient.

This report reflects the views and opinions of Bora Capital Advisors Ltd, and is provided for information purposes only. Although the information provided in the market review and outlook section is, to the best of our knowledge and belief correct, Bora Capital Advisors Ltd, its directors, employees and related parties accept no liability or responsibility for any loss, damage, claim or expense suffered or incurred by any party as a result of reliance on the information provided and opinions expressed in this report, except as required by law. The portfolio performance data represented in this report represents past performance and does not guarantee future performance or results.

Ghana’s Monetary Policy Rate Hike and Your Investment

The primary objective of the Bank of Ghana is to pursue sound monetary policies aimed at price stability and creating an enabling environment for sustainable economic growth. Price stability in this context is defined as a medium-term inflation target of 8±2%, for which the economy is expected to grow at its full potential without excessive inflation pressures.

To achieve the objective of price stability, Bank of Ghana had granted operational independence to employ whichever policy tools were deemed appropriate to stabilise inflation around the medium-term target. The Bank of Ghana’s framework for conducting monetary policy is Inflation Targeting (IT), in which the central bank uses the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) as the primary policy tool to set the monetary policy stance and anchor inflation expectations in the economy. 

On July 24, 2023, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Central Bank announced a 0.5% hike in the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) to 30.0%. This implied that Ghana’s borrowing rates have now gone up by 16.5 percentage points in less than two (2) years, hitting the highest rate in more than ten (10) years.

The drive to fight Ghana’s inflation by raising interest rates has been going on for over a year and half, resulting in diverse effects on the economy, consumers and investors

Effects on the economy

Ghana’s Real GDP growth slowed to 3.3% in 2022, down from 5.4% in 2021 due to the combined effect of macroeconomic instability, global financial tightening, and the lingering impact of the Russia-Ukraine war. The outlook is skewed to the negative due to possible shocks from a prolongment of the war and a tighter global financial market. The World Bank projects the country’s growth to slow further to 1.6 % in 2023 and remain muted in 2024, before returning toward its potential.

The higher MPR set by the MPC is consequently increasing the cost of borrowing for businesses. With higher borrowing costs, businesses might postpone or reduce their investment plans. Projects that were previously economically viable at lower interest rates might become less attractive, leading to a slowdown in capital expenditure. Startups and small businesses, which often rely on external financing, might find it particularly challenging to secure affordable loans. Thus, it may become a challenge for such businesses to invest in new projects and / or expand their operations. This can contribute to and even further slow down economic growth and hinder job creation.

According to the 2022 Report of the Centre for Affordable Housing Finance in Africa, the average loan amount offered by lenders in Ghana, ranges from GH¢80,000 (US$9,930) to GH¢1,600,000 (US$198,650) for cedi mortgages and US$15,000 (GH¢120,815) to US$35,000 (GH¢281,900) for dollar mortgages. In relation to a mean national household income of GH¢2,828 (US$350) per month and a monthly household expenditure of GH¢1,071 (US$133), the affordability of mortgage and housing in general, remains far-fetched.

Mortgage rates are closely tied to the prevailing interest rates in the economy. As central banks raise the policy rate, commercial banks adjust their lending rates, causing mortgage rates to rise as well. Higher mortgage rates mean that borrowers will have to pay more in interest over the life of their loans. This can lead to increased monthly mortgage payments, making homeownership more expensive. Thus, a potential reduction on the demand for such mortgages. On the flip side, there could be slower home sales and potentially downward pressure on housing prices. Homeowners with adjustable-rate mortgages or existing mortgages with higher rates might find it less appealing to refinance when rates are higher.

The local currency can also be sensitive to policy rate changes. A higher interest rate in a country can attract foreign investors seeking better returns on their investments. As a result, there might be increased demand for the local currency to invest in financial assets, leading to currency appreciation. All things being equal, a higher rate can encourage foreign capital inflows, as investors seek to take advantage of the higher yields available. This influx of foreign funds can drive up demand for the local currency, leading to its appreciation. The increase can makes financial assets, such as government bonds and other fixed-income instruments, more attractive to investors. This yield advantage can lead to increased demand for the local currency.

Bonds

Bond prices and policy rates have an inverse relationship. When rates rise, newly issued bonds offer higher yields, making existing bonds with lower yields less attractive. This leads to a decrease in bond prices. As bond prices decrease, the total return from holding existing bonds could be lower. This can impact fixed-income portfolios, especially for investors holding long-term bonds.

 

Equities

There can be short-term fluctuations in stock prices with changes in rates as investors consider the likely effects on the profits or revenues of listed companies. A rate hike can lead to higher borrowing costs for consumers, affecting their spending patterns. If consumers cut back on spending due to higher interest rates, companies might experience reduced revenues. High interest rates also result in high financing cost which together with the reduced revenue will lead to lower profits, potentially impacting stock prices.

Real Estate

Real estate developers and homebuyers may face higher borrowing costs due to increased interest rates. This can lead to decreased demand for real estate, affecting property values and potentially impacting real estate investment trusts (REITs) that rely on borrowing.

Fixed Deposits

As interest rates rise due to a rate hike, the interest rates offered on new fixed deposits tend to increase, leading to higher returns for depositors. With higher interest rates on fixed deposits, they can become more attractive compared to other lower-yielding savings vehicles. Savers seeking a secure and predictable return might be more inclined to invest in fixed deposits.

Overall, the monetary policy rate serves as a tool that allows the central bank to influence borrowing costs and, consequently, economic activity and inflation. By adjusting this rate in response to changes in economic conditions, the central bank aims to keep inflation within a target range and ensure stable prices over the medium to long term.

The effectiveness of the monetary policy rate depends on various factors, including the overall economic conditions, the level of interest rates in the economy, fiscal policies, and external economic influences. Central banks use a mix of monetary policy tools and carefully assess economic indicators to determine appropriate adjustments to the policy interest rate in pursuit of their policy objectives.

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The information contained in this blog is being provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation from any Bora Capital Advisors entity to the recipient. Bora Capital Advisors is not providing any financial, economic, legal, investment, accounting, or tax advice through this blog to its recipient.

This report reflects the views and opinions of Bora Capital Advisors Ltd, and is provided for information purposes only. Although the information provided in the market review and outlook section is, to the best of our knowledge and belief correct, Bora Capital Advisors Ltd, its directors, employees and related parties accept no liability or responsibility for any loss, damage, claim or expense suffered or incurred by any party as a result of reliance on the information provided and opinions expressed in this report, except as required by law. The portfolio performance data represented in this report represents past performance and does not guarantee future performance or results.

When The Central Bank Posts Losses

According to The Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum (OMFIF), an organization that tracks central banking and economic policy, central banks globally recorded losses in a bid to manage their reserves in 2022 amid bond-heavy allocations that took a major hit as a result of aggressive monetary policy tightening around the world and other country-specific factors. According to the OMFIF report, currency interventions in 2022 by monetary authorities to prop up their financial units against a resurgent dollar also contributed to portfolio losses on central bank reserves. The U.S. bond market, the largest in the world for example, had the worst-ever year on record in 2022, undertaking multiple 75 basis-point hikes over the last year to curb stubbornly-high inflation, before decelerating its pace.

Some Central Banks that have recorded losses globally include;

  • The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) recording a 2022 book loss of 37 billion Australian dollars, which more than wiped out the central bank’s equity.
  • The UK Government facing £150 billion bill to cover Bank of England’s losses (According to the Financial Times of July 25, 2023).
  • The Swiss National Bank (SNB) in early January reported a record preliminary loss of 132 billion francs for 2022.
  • In September 2022, the central bank of the Netherlands notified the country’s government in a letter that it projects net interest losses amounting to a potential EUR 9 billion for the years 2023 through 2026.
  • Ghana’s central bank, unfortunately was not left put of the hit. In its 2022 Annual Report and Financial Statements, The Bank of Ghana (BoG) recorded a loss of GH¢60.8billion having posted a GH¢1.2 billion profit in 2021.

Is it typical for a Central Bank to record looses?

Central banks can report losses especially during seasons of economic downturns. This can be as a result of various factors.

Central banks often hold various assets on their balance sheets, such as government bonds, foreign exchange reserves, and other financial instruments. During economic downturns, the value of these assets can decrease due to market fluctuations, reduced demand, or credit risks. As a result, the central bank may experience losses on the value of its assets.

Central banks may implement certain policies in a bid to stimulate borrowing and spending. Such a policy may be to lower interest rates. When interest rates are lowered, the central bank’s income from its assets, such as government bonds, also decreases. This reduction in income can contribute to losses.

In the face of currency volatility during an economic distress, central banks that hold foreign currency reserves as part of their monetary policy strategy can make losses if the currency depreciates in value relative to its domestic currency.

When a central bank records losses, it can have various implications for banks and the broader economy. The effects depend on the specific circumstances, reasons for the losses, and the actions taken by the central bank in response.

The Case of Ghana’s Central Bank

According to BoG’s 2022 Annual Report and Financial Statements, the loss of GH¢60.8billion is attributed to a decline in the Group’s net worth position due to the impact of the Domestic Debt Exchange Programme (DDEP) and impairment of some assets, which accounted for approximately 88.5% of the loss amount. 

BOG steps to recover from loss

It’s important to note that central banks usually aim to manage their operations and respond to challenges in ways that minimize negative impacts on the broader economy and individuals.

In its Annual Report, the Central Bank, outlined these measures as their approach to recovery. These include:

  • Retention of profits to help rebuild capital until equity firmly returns to positive region;
  • Refrain from monetary financing of the Government of Ghana’s budget. In this respect, action has already been taken with a Memorandum of Understanding on zero financing of the budget signed between the Bank of Ghana and the Ministry of Finance on 26 April, 2023;
  • Take immediate steps to optimise the BoG’s investment portfolio and operating cost mix to bolster efficiency and profits; and
  • Assess the potential need for recapitalisation support by the government in the medium-to-long term

Ghana’s Central Bank, currently having a negative shareholders’ equity need recapitalisation as a prudential requirement, i.e., improve their balance sheet in order to return to a positive equity position.

What to expect

The effects of central bank losses can be complex and interconnected with broader economic dynamics. The specific implications is dependent on the effectiveness of the central bank’s actions, the economic context, and to some extent, government policies.

If a central bank records losses and local banks are struggling to meet minimum capital requirements, the situation can pose significant challenges for the financial system and the broader economy. The combination of central bank losses and weak banks can create a complex and potentially destabilizing scenario.

Local Banks, who have taken losses and struggling to meet minimum capital or solvency requirements may tend to reduce their lending activities in an attempt to conserve capital. This can lead to a credit contraction, making it difficult for businesses and individuals to obtain loans for investment, consumption, and other essential activities. Reduced lending can ultimately slow down economic growth.

There is the potential for increased market volatility. Asset prices, including stocks, bonds, and other financial instruments, could experience sharp declines due to uncertainty and lack of confidence. The GSE Financial Sector Index is already reflecting this as the index keeps declining on a year-to-date basis.

There is the potential for increased market volatility. Asset prices, including stocks, bonds, and other financial instruments, could experience sharp declines due to uncertainty and lack of confidence. The GSE Financial Sector Index is already reflecting this as the index keeps declining on a year-to-date basis.

It is expected that there will be a close coordination between regulatory authorities, the central bank, and the government. Effective coordination is necessary to restore confidence, stabilize the financial system, and implement appropriate policy measures.

To address these challenges, governments, central banks, and regulatory authorities would need to implement a combination of monetary, fiscal, and regulatory measures. These might include capital injections, liquidity support, recapitalization of banks, policy adjustments, and efforts to restore market confidence. The aim would be to stabilize the financial system, restore trust, and prevent further deterioration of economic conditions.

Considering the huge negative equity position, until the Central Bank of Ghana has moved into positive equity regions, one questions whether the BoG has the moral right to revoke the license of any Bank that lacks sufficient capital.

Given the current high inflation rate in the country and year end target of 38.1%, it is important that the Central Bank refrain from further deficit financing on the Government in order to strengthen its money market operations and also demonstrate that even with a negative equity position, it can sustain the economy adequately.

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The information contained in this blog is being provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation from any Bora Capital Advisors entity to the recipient. Bora Capital Advisors is not providing any financial, economic, legal, investment, accounting, or tax advice through this blog to its recipient.

This report reflects the views and opinions of Bora Capital Advisors Ltd, and is provided for information purposes only. Although the information provided in the market review and outlook section is, to the best of our knowledge and belief correct, Bora Capital Advisors Ltd, its directors, employees and related parties accept no liability or responsibility for any loss, damage, claim or expense suffered or incurred by any party as a result of reliance on the information provided and opinions expressed in this report, except as required by law. The portfolio performance data represented in this report represents past performance and does not guarantee future performance or results.